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SteveM's Swell Forecast for Guapo PaipoPridePalooza 2012

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SteveM has provided annual wave and swell forecasts for prior years' g'Paloozas. He has provided another stupendous forecast  for the
Guapo PaipoPridePalooza - see below... if he ever delivers!

Hurricane Flash Stickers from The Weather Underground Tropical Pages

“Powered by hurricane-tracking software from Stormpulse.com.”

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Dr. Gray's Tropical Meteorology Project makes annual prognostications. See the
annual hurricane prognostication.

GP '11 Wave Forecast by Steve "The Mind" Waiting.... Later, Steve "The Mind" Marshall Date and time GP '11 Wave Forecast by GP '11 Wave Forecast by WSI Hurricane Forecast Outperforming other, primary, public forecasters on named storms by 25% since 2006, Weather Services International, a Weather Channel company, predicts 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes (category 3 or greater). These 2011 forecast numbers are above the long-term (1950-2010) averages of 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes and match the averages from the more active recent period (1995-2010) of 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. The current forecast numbers are not changed from the April forecast. “Most of the important drivers for tropical activity continue to indicate that an active season lies ahead of us,” said WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford. Crawford added, "Since tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are quite close to the 1995-2010 average values, and since we do not expect either an El Nino or La Nina to develop this summer, our statistical model has output forecast numbers that exactly match those for the current active 1995-2010 period" Although WSI does not see activity reaching the historic levels of 2005 and 2010, it does expect a more impactful season in 2011 along the United States coastline. GP '11 Wave Forecast by The Weather Channel 2011 Hurricane Season on the Horizon The Weather Channel May 20, 2011 4:05 pm ET The 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season will begin on Wednesday, June 1. Forecasters have released predictions for another active season ahead. You can find forecasts from Weather Services International, Colorado State University and the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration at the following link. Forecast: 2011 Hurricane Season GP '11 Wave Forecast by NOAA Forecasters are expecting another active season with between 12 and 18 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 6 major hurricanes. NOAA cited several climate factors considered for this outlook: The continuing high activity era. Since 1995, the tropical multi-decadal signal has brought ocean and atmospheric conditions conducive for development in sync, leading to more active Atlantic hurricane seasons. Warm Atlantic Ocean water. Sea surface temperatures where storms often develop and move across the Atlantic are up to two degrees Fahrenheit warmer-than-average. La Nina, which continues to weaken in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, is expected to dissipate later this month or in June, but its impacts such as reduced wind shear are expected to continue into the hurricane season. “In addition to multiple climate factors, seasonal climate models also indicate an above-normal season is likely, and even suggest we could see activity comparable to some of the active seasons since 1995,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. NOAA May 19, 2011.

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