In a Nutshell: We will have a good sized contingent at this year's GP... AS'ers from
Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, Texas, Illinois and California (?);
and some folks from Balto-DC area. And, a very special guest, the AS Precious Longboard!
Pre-GuidoPalooza Sun, Aug 27, 2006.
After a quiet, slow season we now have two storms churning in the
Atlantic tropics: Debby and Ernesto. Debby is headed north into the
central Atlantic and doesn't figure to produce much if any East Coast
swell. Ernesto's long range tracks have him running through the
Caribbean Sea, into the Gulf of Mexico and maybe across Florida and
into the Atlantic or inland and up the Eastern Seaboard. The long-range
forecast show two organized tropical disturbances that *could* produce
for the GP (see GP Minus 13 days).
Sat, Sept 2, 2006. Many
are braving the wind and surf of Ernesto along the DelMarVa coast.
Meanwhile, a new tropical storm is brewing east of the Lesser Antilles
that is promising as a swell generator for GP. She likely would be
named Florence. My guess at this point is that Florence won't hit the
Outer Banks until early- to mid-GP week.
Sun, Sept 3, 2006: TD 6 is now official and forecast
to become hurricane Florence in a couple of days. The long range
buoyweather forecast for the OBX is:
SURF SURF DIR SWELL PERIOD WIND WND/DIR (ft) (deg) (ft) (sec) (kts) (deg) ------- -------- ----- ------ ------- ------- 9/9 8am 1 - 2 ESE 120 2.2 8.3 4 - 6 N 7 9/9 2pm 2 - 4 ESE 115 2.8 13.3 4 - 5 ENE 54 9/9 8pm 2 - 5 ESE 115 3.6 12.3 4 - 6 E 92 9/10 2am 3 - 6 ESE 116 4.3 11.7 1 - 2 ENE 78 9/10 8am 3 - 6 ESE 115 4.7 11.2 5 - 6 NNE 10 9/10 2pm 3 - 6 ESE 118 4.7 11.1 5 - 7 ENE 52
My guess is that these are the beginnings of the Florence swell.

Monday, Sept 4, 2006.
Friday, Sept 8, 2006:
The buoyweather.com forecast:
<<insert here>>
GuidoPalooza
Saturday:
Sunday:
Monday:
Tuesday:
Post-GuidoPalooza Ext'd
Wednesday:
Thursday:
Friday:
Saturday:
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GP Minus 13 Days -
Those Would be Florence and Gordon Headed to the Lesser Antilles, 8/29/05
TS Long Range Forecast Update
@ 9 Days and Counting
8/31/06

TS Long Range Forecast Update
@ 1 Week and Counting 9/2/06
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